Mary Stoiana vs Mai Hontama Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does second serve performance impact match predictions? Mai Hontama secures 37.22% of points on her second serve, slightly behind Mary Stoiana's 40.99%, suggesting Stoiana's marginal advantage in this area.
• In return game stats, Hontama demonstrates strength by winning 53.42% of points on her opponent’s second serve, while Stoiana trails with 48.50%. However, both have comparable first-serve return stats with Hontama at 35.76% and Stoiana at 34.89%.
• When under pressure, Stoiana has a slight edge with a breakpoint save percentage of 45.72% compared to Hontama’s 44.44%.
• Performance-wise over the past year, Hontama has a win rate of 45.45%, while Stoiana holds a stronger record with 61.54%. This trend shows Stoiana's higher likelihood of winning matches recently.
• Analyzing surface preferences, Hontama and Stoiana have the best performance on Hard and I.hard courts respectively, both winning 60% of their matches.
• In the last year, Stoiana has been slightly more successful in Challengers/ITF tournaments (W/L 24/14) as compared to Hontama (W/L 20/19).
• Opponent quality shows a slight difference, with Hontama facing opponents averaging a rank of 294.65, while Stoiana’s opponents have an average rank of 297.36.
• Deciding set performance favors Stoiana considerably; she has won 54% of deciding sets in the past 12 months compared to Hontama's 24%.
• What role does breakpoint conversion play in match outcomes? Both players have similar recent breakpoint conversion rates, Hontama at 38.93% and Stoiana at 38.25%, making this aspect nearly equal between them.

Editorial Prediction (November 16, 2025, UTC):

The forthcoming match between Mai Hontama and Mary Stoiana presents an intriguing competition. Analyzing their recent performances, Stoiana edges ahead with a slightly stronger second serve performance, giving her an advantage in initiating play.

Both players show comparable skills in first-serve returns; however, Hontama excels in second-serve returns, potentially putting Stoiana's second serve under pressure. Their ability to maintain composure under pressure is similar, with Stoiana showing a marginally better breakpoint save percentage.

Overall performance metrics from the past year favor Stoiana, with a more successful win-loss record in tournaments and a promising track record in deciding sets.

Considering these aspects, Stoiana appears to have a slight edge in this match-up, making her the likely winner.